Wednesday, November 24, 2010

Crisis 2.0 coming ? US$ funding hard to get...

Bank of England today offered unlimited US$ funding:


BOE: The Bank Of England said Wednesday it was offering an unlimited
supply of U.S. dollars in a 6-day repo operation, settlement date 26
November maturing Dec 2 2010. The Bank said the repo would be at a
fixed-rate, with the rate to be set at 1.19%.

  • This is key as... it indicates serious issues getting funding in US dollar similar to 2008.
  • The interbank market is B+S EUR vs USD to create US dollar funding .....in 9-12 month tenor.... 1y up 8-10 basis point last two days
  • The coming IMM DEC roll can also create funding issue... plus ..
  • MRO will also be under pressure..(ECB Monetary policy instruments)
  • ECB continues to talk exit strategy
  • Year-end Funding...
In other words keep keen eye on FX fwds - banking going into the FX FWDS to create US funding is serious risk indicator...

Excellent paper on funding crisis and fx fwds: Financial crisis, global conditions, and regime changes


No comments:

Post a Comment