Watch is for pure trading - but also to see if RISK OF continues - I see 93.00 breaking as "acceleration of risk of".
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In 2011 we will see:
1. Higher rates, the i-rate cycle turned in Q4. Marginal capital cost increasing as the tower of debt gets stacked higher and higher
2. EU will move either towards fiscal integration or final phase
3. One EU country will go to volentary bankruptcy
4. Major correction in S&P in Q1 - minimum: 1000,00
5. USDJPY goes to 80.00 then 75.00
6. Growth collapses in Q2-2011
7. Market is down 25% not up 25% end of year - the present consensus (December 2010) is 85% of all analyst seeing better 2011)
8. Gold goes to 3.000
9. EURUSD goes to 1.1000, then 1.0000
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2011 CALLS (December 16th 2010)
In 2011 we will see:
1. Higher rates, the i-rate cycle turned in Q4. Marginal capital cost increasing as the tower of debt gets stacked higher and higher
2. EU will move either towards fiscal integration or final phase
3. One EU country will go to volentary bankruptcy
4. Major correction in S&P in Q1 - minimum: 1000,00
5. USDJPY goes to 80.00 then 75.00
6. Growth collapses in Q2-2011
7. Market is down 25% not up 25% end of year - the present consensus (December 2010) is 85% of all analyst seeing better 2011)
8. Gold goes to 3.000
9. EURUSD goes to 1.1000, then 1.0000
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May
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- TGIF
- High intraday volatility indicates? Humble pie bei...
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- Too bearish?
- Weekly Investment meeting (May 25th 2010)
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- Market is now in PANIC MODE - EXTREME CAUTION NEEDED
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- What you NEED to know about Trichet!!!!!
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- MAJOR ALERT - GAP RISK Monday
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